First-Time Home Buyer Incentive. A Bridge to Nowhere?

First-Time Home Buyer Incentive Bridge to NowhereIf you’ve been waiting for details about the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive (FTHBI) program, hoping it would help you qualify for a mortgage, you may be disappointed.

The government finally showed all its cards with the FTHBI scheme and we can’t find a case where it would actually improve someone’s buying power—i.e., bridge the gap between high home prices and what newbie buyers can afford.

How it Works

If you make the minimum down payment on an insured mortgage (i.e., 5% to 19.9%), CMHC will give you another 5% (if you’re buying an existing home) or 10% (if it’s a new-build) of the purchase price, as a second mortgage (the “incentive”).

You don’t have to make payments on that second mortgage for up to 25 years, and there’s no interest. But you have to share your gains with CMHC when you pay it back. And if you lose money on your home, CMHC shares those losses proportionate to the size of the incentive.

The Actual Benefit

CMHC’s announcement today reads, “Federal Government Makes it Easier for Middle Class Canadians to Buy their First Home.”

What it probably should have said was, “Federal Government Makes it Easier to Debt Service If You Already Have Low Debt Ratios.”

Here’s why. We ran various scenarios and in each case a typical borrower could qualify for a bigger mortgage by not using the program.

That’s because CMHC is limiting the initiative to people whose mortgage and incentive are less than or equal to four times their total gross income. (Notably, the amount for the mortgage loan insurance premium is excluded from this calculation.)

A qualified borrower making $60,000 a year and putting 5% down, for example, could afford a roughly $269,000 home with a regular default-insured mortgage, but only $253,000 using the FTHBI. That’s over 6% less — and last time we checked, first-time buyers trying to shoehorn themselves into the high-priced housing market need every dollar of buying power they can get.

That, the ~$565,000 maximum purchase price and the need to cough up a chunk of your home value gains are what will limit the FTHBI’s appeal, especially in our biggest cities. Heck, they might as well call it the “First Time Studio Condo Buyer Incentive” in Toronto and Vancouver.

Side note: It is possible that the FTHBI might help someone with high non-mortgage debt qualify for a mortgage if they’re purchasing a relatively cheap home.

Details, Details…

The key specifics:

  • The homebuyer will be required to repay the Incentive amount after 25 years or when the property is sold.
  • The homebuyer can also choose to repay the Incentive at any time, without a pre-payment penalty.
  • If a homebuyer receives a 5% (or 10%) Incentive, he would pay back 5% (or 10%) of the home’s value at repayment time. That’s CMHC’s upside.
  • More official FTHBI details here

Here’s more of what you need to know:

  • The Department of Finance is aiming to launch it September 2, 2019, with the first closing on November 1, 2019 (“barring any unforeseen circumstances,” it says).
  • That ~$565,000 maximum purchase price assumes a 14.99% down payment and $120,000 income.
  • Borrowers must repay the incentive (2nd mortgage) in full. Doh! That means CMHC can participate in people’s price appreciation for longer since few have 5-10% of their home value lying between the couch cushions.
  • When the incentive is repaid, CMHC determines how much is owed using an independent appraisal.
  • Borrowers can refinance (e.g., pull out equity or extend their amortization) without repaying the incentive.
  • The mandatory default-insurance fee is based on the first mortgage amount only.
  • Taxpayers will initially incur costs for this program like administrative and interest costs. A government official said the objective is not to make money.

Parting Thoughts

It appears our government has built a bridge to nowhere for first-time buyers.

No one needs it. Few will want it. (Just like few wanted B.C.’s doomed first-timer program)

As much as we hate to say it, this program looks like little more than vote candy, a program designed to do little, but appear as if the government is doing a lot.

If the Liberals lose power in October, so might this program.



7 Comments

  • Clarence Lee says:

    I don’t know if the Liberals will lose power in October? I do think there are unforeseen glitches to the scheme. My guess is the government brain trust came up with this without industry input? Very troubling to see ill-conceived notions come and go without any real difference being made! Time will reveal all!

  • Leo says:

    This program was designed to do nothing.
    Siddall is doing his best to gradually let air out of the market, so when asked to do something for first timers they designed a program that would sound ok but have no impact on increasing demand.

    And that’s exactly what they accomplished here

  • kiki says:

    Seriously. Who do they think they’re kidding with this thing? Getting lower payments doesn’t help much if you aren’t approved for a mortgage! GDS/TDS limits are the #1 constraint of young people. Not an EXTRA 5-10% down payment. The government’s 4x income limit makes this smoke and mirrors proposal almost useless. Whoever thought of it should be fired for wasting taxpayers time and money!

  • Jim-in-toronto says:

    Government didn’t ask the industry for input because they knew lenders and brokers would see right through this illusion. I heard even CMHC’s own board didn’t find out about it until the last minute. Clearly Siddall and Morneau were more interested in political window dressing than truly helping the middle class.

  • San says:

    The way I see this program, is mainly cater to buyers outside of Toronto or Vancouver area. Because of the stress test, there is a undue pressure on other cities like Ottawa, Montreal, Calgary, London housing market(which is no fault of them) and this program will reduce some of that. The canadian housing market has become a story of just two cities, but canada is bigger than those two.
    Equally, there is a chance it can create froth in other cities, hope CMHC keeps check on that too.

  • David says:

    If 20 or 30 thousand Canadian households have taken the incentive by end of 2020, will you consider the program a success or failure? If demand materializes, is it still a bad idea? Will the brokers actively discourage clients from pursuing this incentive?

    • The Spy says:

      The success of the program won’t be based solely on uptake, but also on how much it benefits (or costs) the government and how much it benefits consumers.

      To many (us included) it’s a solution looking for a problem. It simply doesn’t address the core concerns of most middle-class first-time buyers. We won’t speak for all, but many mortgage originators have a dim view of it for that reason.

      That said, I suspect most client-first bankers and brokers would recommend it if it were in the best interests of a specific type of client.

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