Categories for Mortgage Rate Trends

Over Half of Us to Get Online Mortgages: Meridian CU

It’s not a question of whether mortgages will someday be arranged completely online. The question is, how long will it take? When we do finally get there, you’ll still be able to speak with a human advisor for mortgage help,...

A Case Where Banks Lose & Credit Unions Win

Canada’s new “B-20” mortgage stress test will be a tectonic shift for the roughly 1 in 6 borrowers it affects, starting January 1. It’s going to force higher-indebted creditworthy borrowers to either: reduce their loan amount, seek help qualifying (e.g.,...

Mortgage Costs to Rise in 2018, Scotia Says

Scotiabank’s out with a new prediction. The nation’s #3 mortgage lender says rising rates will cause average mortgage carrying costs for new buyers to jump 8% in 2018 and another 4% in 2019 (assuming stable home prices). “Further rule changes, including more...

What Rate Forecasters are Telling Us

It’s been seven weeks since the Bank of Canada began its first rate hike cycle in seven years. But with its next meeting on Wednesday, will it pull the trigger again? Derivatives prices imply there’s a 50% chance it does, and a 100% chance...

Rates Could Rocket, But…

When it comes to rate predictions, the bond market outwits us all. It incorporates every known economic variable to arrive at today’s level of interest rates and estimate future rates. Right now, the bond market is flashing two vivid signals: Rates are...

Prime Rate Jumps: What You Need to Know

In just the latest reminder that banks value profit above PR, each of the Big 5 have hiked prime rate by a full 1/4 point. That means the rate variable mortgages are based on rises to 2.95% on Thursday, at most big lenders. Some had speculated (hoped) that...

Not One and Done

The kingpin of Canadian interest rates has officially made it more expensive to borrow — for the first time since 2010. By boosting its overnight rate target 1/4%-point this morning, the Bank of Canada is jacking up interest costs roughly...

Rate Hike Mortgage Strategy

“It does look as though [rate] cuts have done their job.” That was Bank of Canada chief Stephen Poloz in a CNBC interview today. It was the second time he’s provided this “forward guidance,” and it’s about the closest thing you’ll hear...

BoC Hikes: Mortgage Rate Surveillance

A quick briefing on recent mortgage rate developments: Higher Rates on the Radar: The market has now fully priced in a rate hike this year, based on the yields of interest rate derivatives. “Clearly this is no longer an economy that requires emergency-level...

Next Rate Move. Up?

Almost every public statement the Bank of Canada makes is scripted. Case in point was the speech today from the Bank of Canada’s Senior Deputy Governor in Winnipeg. She came with prepared remarks that were broadcast all over the Internet. Her (and...