Categories for Mortgage Rate Trends

TD’s Market-Moving Rate Cut

It turns out TD Canada Trust’s “market-moving rate cut” won’t be so market moving, at least not yet. On Sunday, TD slashed a number of fixed rates on its website. Today it un-slashed them, saying: “Changes to our posted rates on our website were made in error. We apologize for any misunderstanding and please refer to the rates currently posted.”—TD...

Reverse Mortgage Challenger Slashes Rates

Equitable Bank has slashed its reverse mortgage rates. That’s welcome news for seniors needing to tap home equity, particularly those who can’t qualify for regular financing or don’t want the payments. The company—which has remained in HomeEquity Bank’s shadow—is now working noticeably harder to separate itself from its better-known rival. And its rate cuts this week do just that, assuming...

Mortgage Rates Heading South Again

There’s an increasingly ominous vibe to Canada’s economic outlook, and that’s got the market taking rates down another notch. Canada’s 5-year bond yield is seven basis points lower today—to 1.63% as we write this. That’s the lowest it’s been since December 2017. All told, the 5-year yield has now sank 83 basis points since the November high. With the Bank of Canada...

5-year Fixed Rates Back Under 3%

Canada’s spring mortgage market is officially underway. HSBC kicked it off today with a head-turning 2.99% 5-year fixed rate. It’s the first time since September 24, 2018, that Canadians have seen the best 5-year fixed rate start with a “2.” Much has changed in those five short months: Market expectations have gone from 100+ basis points of rate hikes in the next few...

Interest Rates on Thin Ice?

Have you ever walked on a frozen lake and worried you’re going to fall through? That’s the feeling of many traders right now — the ones shorting Canada’s 5-year government bond. The yield on that 5-year bond is what guides fixed mortgage rates (among other things), and it’s seemingly on the verge of making a new 14-month low. The magic...

A Closer Look at TD’s Online Mortgage Play

Canada’s banking giants have invested massively in branches and mortgage salesforces. But now mortgages are moving online, and that creates both opportunity and conflict for the Big 6. “Canadians are predominantly using online tools as they start the homebuying journey,” says Pat Giles, VP Real Estate Secured Lending at TD. His bank, like every other, is working hard to be...

The Stealth Hike in Variable Rates

The most unexpected trend in the mortgage rate world of late has been the squeezing of variable-rate discounts. The Spy warned of diminishing variable-rate discounts last month. Since that time, they’ve shrunk 20 basis points on the most competitive uninsured variables, costing new borrowers over $2,300 more interest over five years on a typical $250,000 mortgage. On the insured side, the...

A Major Bank Finally Drops 5-year Fixed Rates

At long last a Big 6 bank has cut its advertised 5-year fixed rate. RBC set the trend today in lowering its “special offer” 5-year fixed rate by 15 basis points, from 3.89% to 3.74%. (See: RBC mortgage rates) It only took a month and a half after five-year bond yields fell enough to warrant a rate cut. (Bond yields typically guide fixed-rate...

The Fixed-Variable Spread Shrinks Further

A regular consideration when choosing between a fixed or variable rate is the difference between them. As of late that “fixed-variable spread,” as we jargony industry people call it, has been slowly narrowing. So far, it has mostly been a result of diminishing variable-rate discounts. Just this morning, for example, TD hiked its advertised variable rate a head-turning 20 bps....

Mortgage Rates & Oligopoly Costs

Five-year Canadian yields are down 60 basis points in two months. Average 5-year fixed mortgage rates are down a measly 4 basis points.* Meanwhile south of the border, where they have this thing called mortgage competition, 5-year yields are down 54 bps and average 5-year fixed rates have fallen 16 bps so far. Average rates on the most popular U.S....