Mortgage Rate News

Could 5-Year Fixed Rates Sink to 1.49%?

—The Mortgage Report: Aug. 25— Yes. The Question is: When? Most readers know that fixed mortgage rates follow bond yields. But it’s bond yields south of the border that are particularly influential for Canadian mortgage rates — given U.S. influence on our economy. To get to 1.49% on discounted 5-year fixed rates, we need a Canadian 5-year bond yield near...

A New Frontier for Fixed Mortgage Rates

—The Mortgage Report: Aug 21— Boldly Going Where No 5-Year Fixed Rate Has Gone Before For the first time, pricing on Canada’s most in-demand term is now effectively as low as 1.59%. That’s for default-insured 5-year fixed mortgages in Ontario. Consider that just 18 months ago rates were double what we see today. On the uninsured side, we’re getting multiple...

iBuyers Are Changing the Game…Slowly

—The Mortgage Report: Aug. 19— Properly’s “Backup Offer” for Home Sellers Someday, the majority of Canadian home sellers will get a quote from an iBuyer. What’s an iBuyer? It’s a company that offers you roughly 7% less than fair market value to buy your home…fast. Why would someone take 7% less? Because real estate commissions are usually 4-6% anyway, and...

Morneau Out. The Mortgage Impact

Canada’s Finance Minister influences the mortgage market more than any other politician, and now we’re getting a new one. Finance Minister Bill Morneau, who’s held that role since November 4, 2015, is out. He resigned today. To say Morneau was pro-mortgage tightening is an understatement. The 57-year-old Liberal cabinet minister presided over numerous impactful changes to Canada’s mortgage market, including:...

Weekend Rate Cuts

—The Mortgage Report: Aug. 16— HSBC Cuts HSBC slashed a bunch of key rates going into the weekend, setting record lows on a variety of terms. That included reductions to these special fixed rates: 3yr: 2.19% to 1.99% Canada’s lowest-ever 3yr refi rate 5yr: 2.09% to 1.96% Canada’s lowest-ever 5yr refi rate 5yr (high ratio): 1.89% to 1.76% Canada’s lowest-ever...

Fixed Wins Enough of the Time

The debate over fixed or variable rates never ends. But there are now two things that are far less debatable: 1) The Bank of Canada is telling us that prime rate has likely hit bottom, and 2) “Safer” 5-year fixed rates are now as low as “riskier” variable rates. (Safer, particularly if you choose a fair penalty lender.) Given the...

Yields Wake Up

A Two-Month High for the 5-year Yield Canada’s #1 fixed mortgage rate indicator, the 5-year bond yield, has stubbornly refused to challenge its March record low. And now it has turned upwards, closing Thursday at the highest level in two months: 0.44%. Concerns over inflation and massive government debt issuance are two key reasons. A close above 0.55% could indicate...

7 Reasons CMHC’s Letter Was a Bad Idea: Viewpoint

Well, you don’t see this every day: The head of Canada’s housing agency seemingly guilting lenders into sending him business and tightening mortgage lending. In a letter to the industry originally leaked to Bloomberg (see below), CMHC CEO Evan Siddall chided and accused mortgage lenders of: short-sightedly sending too much business to CMHC’s competitors creating a “very significant drag” on...

The Mortgage Stress Test Loosens Up

Effective this week, it gets a little easier to buy a house or refinance. On Saturday, BMO and CIBC shaved 15 basis points off their posted 5-year fixed rates. That’s enough to drop the benchmark 5-year posted rate to 4.79%. Given regulators use this benchmark rate to calculate Canada’s minimum mortgage stress test, today’s cuts mean you’ll now need less...

Are Falling Rate Expectations Setting Up a Future Surprise?

—The Mortgage Report: Aug. 7— Rate Complacency When you survey people about the direction of interest rates, they consistently expect “that rates will rise,” says Mortgage Professionals Canada (MPC) in a new report. That thinking is partly why 5-year fixed rates are so popular. But MPC’s recent survey indicates “that the expected amount of increase might be the smallest we’ve...