Tag Archive: economic outlook


One of Three Things Must Occur for Record Low Mortgage Rates

The Mortgage Report – May 31 And One of Them’s Bad: If you’re rooting for lower mortgage rates, one of the following must happen: Bond yields must drop to record lows Bond yields steer fixed mortgage rates and are largely a reflection of Canada’s economic (inflation) outlook Rooting for economic pain—so mortgage rates fall—isn’t exactly a patriotic sentiment, so we’d...

Reverse Mortgage Rates Break Record

The Mortgage Report – May 28 Now in the 3s: For the first time ever, a Canadian reverse mortgage provider has a 5-year fixed term under 4%. Equitable Bank announced the offer Thursday, which applies to its 5-year “Lump-sum” reverse mortgage. Equitable trimmed all of its other reverse mortgage rates by 15 bps as well. That’s a big win for...

Compare & Save: BoC

The Mortgage Report – May 27 Shop Rates, Says Bank of Canada: “The price of a mortgage can vary a lot among lenders…You’ll most likely find a lower interest rate if you do your homework and are willing to negotiate.”—Bank of Canada The BoC Does Move Fixed Rates: It’s a misconception that the Bank of Canada only influences variable mortgage...

10-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Fall to Record Low

The Mortgage Report – May 25 Decade Discounts: With rates near perma-lows, according to some, people aren’t exactly lining up to lock in for 10 years. That’s especially true with penalties being so large on 10-year fixed terms, that is, until a mortgage passes its five-year anniversary—at which point the Interest Act limits penalties to three months’ interest. Nevertheless, effective...

One-year Rates as Low as 1.99% IF Your Mortgage is Insured

The Mortgage Report – Weekend Edition More Sub-2% Rates: For default-insured borrowers, there’s now up to three mortgage terms in the magic 1% range, depending on your province. They include the one-year fixed, three-year fixed and variable. In coming weeks, more borrowers could strategically choose shorter fixed terms to: (a) wait for better variable-rate discounts in 2021, and/or (b) get...

Ominous Data From CMHC

The Mortgage Report – May 19 5% Down Payments at Risk? Canada’s housing agency says it must “avoid exposing young people” and “taxpayers” to “amplified losses that result from falling house prices.” CMHC CEO Evan Siddall said today, “Unless we act, a first-time homebuyer purchasing a $300,000 home with a 5% down payment stands to lose over $45,000 on their...

Historically Bad Housing Numbers

Mortgage Report – Weekend Edition Prices Tumble in April: The national average home price in Canada has plunged almost 10% in one month (April). That’s never happened before in CREA data going back to 1980. The next closest month-over-month drop was -7.6% in April 1989. The data was skewed partly by the GTA’s 11.8% nose-dive. Home Inventories Skyrocket: The total...

Stress Test Rate to Drop Next Week

Mortgage Report – May 14 De-Stressing: Call out the marching band, BMO’s posted 5-year rate cut today should ease the government’s mortgage “stress test,” effective next week. As it stands, the minimum stress test rate will likely fall from today’s 5.04% to 4.99%. It’ll mark the first time since January 2018 (when OSFI’s stress test began) that this benchmark rate...

The Stress Test Rate Could Fall Again

Mortgage Report – May 12 Not So Timely: The government’s 5-year bond yield, which heavily influences fixed mortgage rates, peaked in October 2018. Since then, it has collapsed 212 basis points. Meanwhile, big banks have lowered 5-year posted rates just a stingy 30 basis points. The banking regulator (OSFI) considers that a problem and proposed to de-link the mortgage stress...

The “I Wish We Had Better News” Edition

Daily Mortgage Report – May 7 A Record 4 million: That’s how many jobs disappeared in April, predict economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That’s a stunning one-fifth of the labour force, and only a portion of those jobs will return soon. How many of these families own homes? A meaningful minority. But the bigger question is, how many will continue paying...