The talk of the market this month is how traders are pricing in a decelerating economy and lower interest rates — to which Scotiabank Economics replies, think again. December’s selloffs in oil and equities and incessant chatter about yield curve inversion got many thinking we’re headed towards a rate cut by 2020. But in a recent report, Scotia challenged that...
After the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) released its critical report on HELOCs Tuesday, industry folks started wondering what the regulator is going to do with this information. We asked the agency and it told us,“FCAC’s mandate includes the responsibility to monitor and evaluate trends and emerging issues that may have an impact on consumers of financial products and...
At long last a Big 6 bank has cut its advertised 5-year fixed rate. RBC set the trend today in lowering its “special offer” 5-year fixed rate by 15 basis points, from3.89% to 3.74%.(See: RBC mortgage rates) It only took a month and a half afterfive-year bond yields fell enough to warrant a rate cut. (Bond yields typically guide fixed-rate...
Most consumers are underinformed about HELOCs. 27% of HELOC holders are only making interest-only payments most/all of the time. Too many HELOC holders may be using them to overspend. Those were key findings from today’sFinancial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) report on HELOCs. HELOCs have been the single-biggest contributor to rising non-mortgage household debt over the past 15 years—”more than...
A regular consideration when choosing between a fixed or variable rate is the difference between them. As of late that “fixed-variable spread,” as we jargony industry people call it, has been slowly narrowing. So far, it has mostly been a result of diminishing variable-rate discounts. Just this morning, for example, TD hiked its advertised variable rate a head-turning 20 bps....
The Bank of Canada maintains that rates are going higher. Meanwhile, it just slashed Canada’s 2019 growth forecast by a not-so-paltry 0.40 percentage points. Does that strike anyone as a mite bit inconsistent? The Bank is now calling for just a 1.7% GDP gain this year. That’s pretty darned feeble. Bonsai trees and glaciers grow faster than 1.7% a year....
The market knew we wouldn’t get a rate hike today. Instead, it was scouring the Bank of Canada’s messaging for guidance on where rates are headed. And the market found it. The bank’s statement this morning reinforced that it expects higher rates, but it will take longer than they thought. Here’s more on the BoC’s latest decision, and what it...
Five-year Canadian yields are down 60 basis points in two months. Average 5-year fixed mortgage rates are down a measly 4 basis points.* Meanwhile south of the border, where they have this thing called mortgage competition, 5-year yields are down 54 bps and average 5-year fixed rates have fallen 16 bps so far. Average rates on the most popular U.S....
Apart from the interest rate, probably the biggest complaint among reverse mortgage borrowers is that they can’t get enough money. That’s now changing thanks to the launch of “CHIP Max” by HomeEquity Bank. In a nutshell, CHIP Max is a reverse mortgage that lets you borrow more money in return for a higher interest rate. That higher rate compensates HomeEquity...
Markets are “well ahead of the data.” …said the world’s most powerful banker Friday. With his comments, Fed chief Jerome Powell reminded everyone that bond markets usually price in economic slowdowns 6-24 months ahead of time. The market’s fear going into today was that the Fed would snuff out economic growth with “auto-pilot” rate hikes, that the Fed wasn’t listening...
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